Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 517.929020 550.691716 584.730200 622.793851 664.242372 708.087430 758.077124
2026-01-25 476.723694 521.980443 570.888127 627.881707 692.741131 764.569366 850.566914
2026-02-01 450.216654 503.402475 562.533152 633.556409 717.089607 812.887794 932.036030
2026-02-08 430.748836 489.909862 557.228011 640.139931 740.397764 858.862283 1011.165287
2026-02-15 411.896809 475.184285 548.616009 641.007461 755.426091 894.191295 1077.907234
2026-02-22 395.653600 462.174596 540.695162 641.381710 768.777380 926.986958 1142.195037
2026-03-01 382.855557 452.347426 535.676965 644.422774 784.802403 963.084902 1211.965287
2026-03-08 369.518623 441.007949 527.939621 643.183090 794.668935 991.027555 1271.781793
2026-03-15 358.420577 431.806225 522.221589 643.876387 806.572743 1021.648029 1336.408470
2026-03-22 347.898569 422.771371 516.141761 643.517976 816.640673 1049.788754 1398.675396
2026-03-29 338.381544 414.551960 510.626670 643.414064 826.691865 1077.961457 1462.180913
2026-04-05 331.072046 408.830192 508.009594 646.869218 841.490795 1113.140315 1537.738324
2026-04-12 322.846935 401.605289 503.104896 646.931944 851.436588 1141.761597 1605.162566
2026-04-19 317.205968 397.543527 502.177843 652.289706 868.930439 1181.970412 1692.785592
2026-04-26 312.170915 394.059623 501.809864 658.261600 887.368627 1224.255738 1786.241667
2026-05-03 307.797385 391.269522 502.204043 665.191027 907.331780 1269.633318 1887.580944
2026-05-10 301.599610 385.756891 498.588668 666.104230 918.188594 1301.307590 1968.052848
2026-05-17 295.578102 380.273847 494.782512 666.498189 928.120426 1331.811484 2048.358642
2026-05-24 290.803705 376.349484 492.992379 669.699560 942.358084 1369.707529 2143.985592
2026-05-31 284.835683 370.563722 488.339747 668.394495 949.396560 1396.094373 2220.741746
2026-06-07 279.798510 365.930462 485.161842 669.124350 959.559950 1427.973602 2309.588782
2026-06-14 274.664517 361.004476 481.384064 668.747038 967.832140 1456.943191 2394.938580
2026-06-21 269.846157 356.388384 477.896128 668.637647 976.436515 1486.765437 2483.947032